Special Report: Putin’s plan and its terrifying consequences for Europe


Special Report: Putin’s plan and its terrifying consequences for Europe



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Author: casualphilosopher1

7 thoughts on “Special Report: Putin’s plan and its terrifying consequences for Europe

  1. On December 17, the Russian Foreign Ministry published two draft texts — a *Treaty between the United States and the Russian Federation on Security Guarantees* and an *Agreement on Measures to Ensure the Security of the Russian Federation and the Member States of NATO.*

    Moscow’s stated goal is to obtain “legal security guarantees from the United States and NATO.”

    Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said: “The two texts are not written according to the principle of a menu, where you can choose one or the other, they complement each other and should be considered as a whole.”

    The second text, he said, is a kind of parallel guarantee because “the Russian Foreign Ministry is fully aware that the White House may not meet its obligations, and therefore there is a separate draft treaty for NATO countries.”

    The Russian manoeuvre is to bind NATO through the United States, the United States through NATO. There is nothing to negotiate, you have to accept everything as a whole.

    Russian media, such as the digital newspaper Vzglyad, are already jubilant: “The world before and the world after December 17, 2021 are completely different worlds. If until now the United States held the whole world at gunpoint, now it finds itself

    under the threat of Russian military forces. A new era is opening, new heroes are coming, and a new Danila Bagrov (character of the patriotic mobster in the popular film Brat), raising his heavy fist and looking into the eyes of his interlocutor, asks softly again: “How strong are you, American?”

    The Russian threat is explicit and directed at both the Americans and the Europeans. If the West does not accept the ultimatum, they will have to face “a military and technical alternative”, according to Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko: “The Europeans must also think about whether they want to avoid making their continent the scene of a military confrontation. They have a choice. Either they take seriously what is put on the table, or they face a military-technical alternative.”

    After the publication of the draft treaty, the extraordinary possibility of a pre-emptive strike against NATO targets was cooly confirmed by former Russia’s Deputy Minister of Defense Andrei Kartapolov: “Our partners must understand that the longer they drag out the examination of our proposals and the adoption of real measures to create these guarantees, the greater the likelihood that they will suffer a pre-emptive strike.”

    To underline matters, Russia fired a salvo of Zircon hypersonic missiles on December 24. Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman, commented on this event: “Well, I hope that the notes [referring to the ultimatum published the previous week] will be more convincing”.

    Russian political analyst Vladimir Mozhegov is more explicit about the nature of the threat to the West. “What are our arguments? First and foremost, of course, our most reliable allies — the army and the navy. To be more precise, the hypersonic Zircon missile [nicknamed the “carrier killer”] which makes it absurd for the United States to have a fleet of aircraft carriers.

    “The impact of the Zircon cracks a destroyer like a nut. Several Zircons will inevitably sink an aircraft carrier. The Zircon simply does its job: it methodically shoots huge, clumsy aircraft carriers like a gun at cans.” An article in the digital newspaper Svpressa is titled “Putin’s ultimatum: Russia will bury all of Europe and two-thirds of the United States in 30 minutes”.

    “The Kremlin will have to prove its position with deeds. It is probably only possible to force the “partners” to sit at the negotiating table by coercion. Economically, the Russian Federation cannot compete with the West. There remains war.”

    The impression in western media is that nothing is happening. The press do not seem to understand what is at stake, thinking that only the fate of Ukraine is being decided.

    In French political thinking it normal that Russia should claim a sphere of influence. Yet they risk echoing those who, in 1939, believed that Hitler’s demands would be limited to Danzig. A simple examination of the texts proposed by Moscow make it clear the stakes are quite different.

    The Russian ultimatum demands “the renunciation of any enlargement of NATO, the cessation of military cooperation with post-Soviet countries, the withdrawal of American nuclear weapons from Europe and the withdrawal of NATO armed forces to the borders of 1997”.

    Russia and the United States would then commit themselves not to deploy nuclear weapons abroad and to withdraw those already deployed.

    Article 7 of the ultimatum specifies that “NATO shall refrain from conducting any military activities on the territory of Ukraine, as well as of the other states of eastern Europe, Transcaucasia and Central Asia.” This includes the 14 Eastern European and Balkan states that became members of NATO in the last 24 years.

    In short, “the Russian initiative could help the Americans to quietly leave Central and Eastern Europe,” according to the headline of an article posted by the very official think tank Russtrat.

    And what is Russia offering in exchange for all the concessions demanded of the West? Does it propose to evacuate Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Crimea, Donbass, since it talks about returning to the situation in 1997? Nothing of the sort.

    Its bargain, it says, is to be willing to commit itself not to threaten American security. One remembers the Cold War joke: “What is ours is ours, what is yours is negotiable”. In a word, Russia is demanding that NATO commit suicide, and the United States be reduced to the role of a regional power.

    As a result, Russia will have the upper hand in Europe. The countries of western Europe are already taken for granted, with Moscow counting on the pool of influencers it has cultivated for years within the European ruling elites.

    Deprived of American support, the “Russophobic” countries that crystallise the resistance to Moscow’s hegemony will have to bow to the inevitable.

    According to Russtrat, “of course, Poland and the Baltic countries will be unhappy. But they will probably be the only ones to oppose the American withdrawal from Central and Eastern Europe. After all, the rest of the “Young Europeans” are guided by the position of the EU “core” countries, and they do not have stable anti-Russian complexes.”

    Moscow is counting on the demoralizing effect on Europe of this Russian-American negotiation on its fate from which it is excluded, and on the weakness of the American side in the absence of the European allies.

    The European Union wanted to participate. But Moscow has adamantly imposed the bilateral format with Washington. Russian Senator Alexei Pushkov explains why: In his view, European countries are trying to participate in the negotiations in order to sabotage them.

    The Second World War RibbentropMolotov Pact, in which Stalin’s USSR was betrayed by Hitler’s Third Reich, is never far away in the minds of the Kremlin leaders.

    It is also a question of status, and a reflection of Putin’s obsession with erasing the collapse of the USSR. Thus Nezavisimaya Gazeta emphasizes that “Russia has acted as the heir to the USSR, the second superpower, which considers itself entitled to negotiate with the West on an equal footing.”

    By negotiating as an equal with the president of the United States, Putin demonstrates at the same time to the Russians that his position as the boss is recognized by the cursed Westerners.

    The feeling of debasement the Russians experience in their hearts by submitting to despotism vanishes when they see the humiliation of the West: foreigners too are bowing down to Putin. The regime’s propaganda knows how to play these sensitive chords.

    It is important to understand what motivated Putin to launch this challenge to Western countries. As always, Russian policy is dictated by a careful analysis of the “correlation of forces”, which, according to Kremlin experts, has just tipped in favour of the anti-Western revisionist powers.

    After 20 year’s preparation for war, the Russian position is considered to be stronger than ever, according to the Russtrat think tank.

    “In the next year and a half, Russia will considerably change the balance of global power. The explosion of planetary inflation is causing an energy crisis, which makes the Europeans much more accommodating and rules out a blockade of our energy supplies, whatever we do.”

    Europe’s energy needs – in particular Germany’s dependency on Russian gas – are leverage.

  2. I don’t know why but this man always looks like a 70year old woman with too much Botox to me 😅

    Anyway I don’t believe any side is really interested in war. And specially with the very anti russian climate in Ukraine they know this would be a lost cause. It’s not the same as taking the Crimean peninsula … There is a plan but I doubt the final goal is war…

    It’s just him being a big manbaby knowing how to annoy everyone around him.

  3. >The Russian threat is explicit and directed at both the Americans and the Europeans. If the West does not accept the ultimatum, they will have to face “a military and technical alternative”, according to Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko: “The Europeans must also think about whether they want to avoid making their continent the scene of a military confrontation. They have a choice. Either they take seriously what is put on the table, or they face a military-technical alternative.”

    >After the publication of the draft treaty, the extraordinary possibility of a pre-emptive strike against NATO targets was cooly confirmed by former Russia’s Deputy Minister of Defense Andrei Kartapolov: “Our partners must understand that the longer they drag out the examination of our proposals and the adoption of real measures to create these guarantees, the greater the likelihood that they will suffer a pre-emptive strike.”

    Jesus fucking Crist

  4. So if the russian defense guy says they’ll launch a preemptive strike on NATO countries, can we start acting like they’ll launch a preemptive strike on NATO countries?

  5. Russia always pretends like they have leverage over Europe with their oil and gas supplies failing to mention that the revenue from selling those resources is a big chunk of their budget and once EU transitions to green energy that revenue will plummet and they will have to choose between having an army or bread on the table.

    They could sell their resources to China but problem is the chinese are just as expansionist as the russians and is only gonna get worse not to mention they need access to western markets to sell their products at sweatshop prices so if the west threatens sanctions for buying polluting resources from Russia they might look for their own interest and just go green to get the topic removed once and for all which means Russia might have to send their army to do some ice hole fishing just to put food on the table.

    So Putin is sabre rattling to rally support for himself in the russian society and to keep Ukraine as a buffer zone.

    As for the armed conflict he threatens with, that will never work and here is why:

    They plan to attack people while announcing if any army pushes them back and beyond russian soil they will use the nuclear arsenal to retaliate.

    And that makes the US and Western Europe not want to engage militarily since it will mean a constant war of defending while the russians can just sit in their lands recoup and decide where and when to strike.

    Which makes the eastern block countries vulnerable right? The west might go: we cant fight them because they will use nukes so might aswell let them have eastern europe in their influence again.

    Which might mean peace and quiet for them and the promise to maybe gang up on China right?

    Right! Problem is: eastern europe countries hate the russians for obvious reasons and if the west does not convince them that they will support them it means the russians will have free hand right? So they are lost right? Which means they have nothing to lose right?

    One quick questions to mr putin and the russian think tanks then: if eastern europe countries have nothing to lose what is to stop them from developing nuclear weapons and using them against your green men in the same manner you declare you will if any foreign army enters Russia?

    So that will just mean a dangerous spread of nuclear weapons in the hands of easter european countries. Literally the most volatile area of civilised world in large part due to the numerous armed conflicts that had the people in this part of the world engaged in.

    So yeah that is the “flaw” in the grand plan of Putin… when you want to take everythig means the victim has nothing to lose and that makes them survival instinct dangerous.

    LE: And if you read this and thought: sure B9 countries have better economy and enough bright minds and resources to make nukes too but they wont ever get consensus and self sabotaje then i present you with plan C as in C for China.

    If US and west EU pulls our of eastern europe and say ok Russia they are yours then what is to stop China from making a military alliance with B9 and now have Russia and US looking like dummies.

    And China will use army and put nukes in B9 countries facing both west and east they dont have a civil society to keep their politicians in check and in that scenario they would be facing a US and Russian coallition against them right? Since in that scenario west buys an alliance with Russia versus China by giving them free reign in B9 right?

    So basically because China grew so strong on all fronts it means that Russia is not and cannot ever become a super power again because now is literally the prize to get.

    They will either become democratic and ally with the west versus China which means goodbye Putin and his oligarchic state or become a Chinese vassal which also means goodbye Putin since he wont be able to keep his popularity up when he no longer has the foreign policy shenanigans to distract from home affairs and reinforce his image.

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